Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.605773 0.694647 0.791335 0.904242 1.032380 1.173196 1.339585
2025-01-05 0.451010 0.566433 0.702998 0.876121 1.089362 1.343036 1.667310
2025-01-12 0.355598 0.485620 0.651751 0.878690 1.179644 1.563984 2.090875
2025-01-19 0.274793 0.405963 0.586042 0.849692 1.223945 1.733928 2.478935
2025-01-26 0.231389 0.367368 0.566683 0.877418 1.346364 2.023548 3.070332
2025-02-02 0.200498 0.340267 0.557886 0.917273 1.490757 2.363563 3.783231
2025-02-09 0.169118 0.305762 0.531011 0.923706 1.583900 2.638982 4.438000
2025-02-16 0.142872 0.274247 0.502776 0.921953 1.661809 2.899040 5.102611
2025-02-23 0.122278 0.248380 0.479129 0.923023 1.742873 3.172798 5.824286
2025-03-02 0.105345 0.225829 0.457148 0.922609 1.819765 3.447382 6.581035
2025-03-09 0.093316 0.210443 0.445671 0.939305 1.929252 3.791903 7.504606
2025-03-16 0.080864 0.191640 0.424109 0.932290 1.991299 4.055215 8.308559
2025-03-23 0.072468 0.180205 0.416101 0.952442 2.112034 4.449150 9.420839
2025-03-30 0.062703 0.163674 0.394396 0.940037 2.163858 4.714153 10.312743
2025-04-06 0.056223 0.153644 0.385382 0.954048 2.274050 5.111652 11.525700
2025-04-13 0.048299 0.138324 0.361418 0.929799 2.295758 5.325669 12.378662
2025-04-20 0.044760 0.133704 0.362361 0.964771 2.457961 5.863525 13.999870
2025-04-27 0.042146 0.131065 0.367788 1.011613 2.654826 6.502221 15.921995
2025-05-04 0.038075 0.123423 0.358954 1.020775 2.761170 6.946556 17.452117
2025-05-11 0.034110 0.115220 0.347159 1.020204 2.842922 7.342770 18.916121
2025-05-18 0.030729 0.108056 0.336961 1.022260 2.931668 7.766245 20.495250
2025-05-25 0.027687 0.101285 0.326675 1.022372 3.015237 8.186763 22.116106
2025-06-01 0.025547 0.097029 0.323070 1.041154 3.152441 8.759050 24.184961